Non-Functioning Endocrine Pancreatic Tumors: Factors Predicting Recurrence and Outcome
Capitanio V1, Albarello L2, Zerbi A1, Balzano G1, Rocchetti S1, Beneduce AA1, Varale R1, Di Carlo V1
1Pancreas Unit and 2Department of Pathology, San Raffaele H. Milan, Italy
ABSTRACT
Background Only few data exist on long-term outcome and prognostic factors of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors because of their low incidence, heterogeneous behaviour and different treatment modalities.
Aim to evaluate risk factors for recurrence and prognostic factors for long-term outcome in non-functioning endocrine pancreatic tumors.
Methods Eighty-five patients with non-functioning endocrine pancreatic tumors were observed at our Institute in the period 1987-2004. In 67 of them (29 female and 38 male; mean age 54 years) complete data were available to perform an univariate analysis, correlating recurrence and survival with clinical and histopathological factors. The following parameters were studied: age, clinical presentation (with or without symptoms), size of the primary tumor, presence of angioinvasion, adjacent organs involvement, synchronous or metachronous metastases, ki-67-index, surgical resection, medical therapy. Mean follow-up was 58 months (range 3-267 months).
Results Tumors were classified according to WHO 2000 system: 14 resulted benign neoplasm, 17 tumors with uncertain behaviour, 29 well differentiated carcinoma, 7 poorly differentiated carcinoma. 62 patients underwent surgical resection, whereas 5 did not. Eighteen patients showed a local or distant recurrence of disease (mean interval from diagnosis: 31.5 months; range 3-158 months): 4 tumors with uncertain behaviour, 10 well differentiated and 4 poorly differentiated carcinoma. Tumor size greater than 2 cm (odds ratio: 9.5; 95% CI: 1.172-78.55) and angioinvasion (odds ratio: 6; 95% CI: 1.5-24.01) were the strongest predictors of recurrence; mean time of recurrence was: 30 months in neoplasms greater than 2 cm in size, 54 months in neoplasms less than 2 cm, 30 months in patients with angioinvasion, and 47 months in patients without angioinvasion. Univariate analysis showed that lymph node status, proliferation fraction (ki-67-index) and surgical treatment displayed a significant correlation with overall survival. The results of analysis are showed in the Table.
|
Hazard ratio |
95% CI |
Mean survival time (months) |
|
|
Lymph node status |
10.49 |
1.198-91.98 |
LN+: 114 |
|
Ki-67index |
7.74 |
1.2-46.86 |
Ki-67 >5%: 67 |
|
Surgical resection |
11.35 |
1.6-80.23 |
No resection: 103 |
|
Synchronous metastasis |
3.9 |
0.9-17.04 |
M+: 103 |
Conclusions Tumor size greater than 2 cm and vascular invasion were risk factors for recurrence; metastases to lymph nodes and ki-67-index greater than 5% were prognostic factors of an unfavorable outcome; surgical resection was related to a favorable prognosis.
Congress Proceedings in PDF format